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Unread 09-06-04, 12:19 PM
Ernie Martin's Avatar
Ernie Martin Ernie Martin is offline
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Join Date: Apr 2002
Location: Miami, Florida
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Ernie Martin is an unknown quantity at this point
I'm in Miami, so few planes flew out because the storm was further North. Here in Florida, those in the path of the storm who don't have a hangar (or who feel the hangar may fail) typically fly the plane -- either North or South -- away from the path. You don't have to leave Florida, just moving the plane 60-100 miles away is enough. And the Hurricane center has gotten so good at predicting the track based on mathematical models, that you can pick an airport to go to with near-certain assurance that it won't turn and go there.

BTW, to show you how good they can predict the storm path, the figure below shows the prediction of a week ago vs the actual path. I have a small place in a Bahamian island called Great Harbour Cay or GHC (Larry Bowdish has been there with me) which is shown in the figure. Note the uncanny accuracy at GHC, indeed for the whole track.

Ernie
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File Type: gif frances proj vs track.gif (20.1 KB, 1543 views)
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